KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2029 34%En tête parmi 4 options
Before Jan 1, 2029 34%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
449,6 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
10 oct. 26, 19:45 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Giorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiSanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
KalshiClaudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
KalshiMark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?
KalshiWill Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Narendra ModiThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office of IndiaCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A statement that Narendra Modi will not lead the Bharatiya Janata Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election. A formal resignation after which he continues in office and is reappointed, such as the customary resignation after a general election, also does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
