KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hochul, 4+ pts 92%+3.8ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
11,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
29 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
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- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
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- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
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- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New York Governor margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Hochul, 4+ pts à 92% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand New York Governor margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- New York Governor margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment New York Governor margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.