KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Booker, 9+ pts 99%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
35,7 €
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
28 avr. 26, 01:02 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Jersey by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt59.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt39.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 133,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 933,3 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt61%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-1.0pt8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,4 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt4%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 533,3 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 194,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New Jersey Senate margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Booker, 9+ pts à 99% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand New Jersey Senate margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- New Jersey Senate margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment New Jersey Senate margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Jersey by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.