KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrats, 8+ pts 61%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
21,5 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
9.2 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
14 sept. 26, 19:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Michigan Board of State Canvassers
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Michigan Governor margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Democrats, 8+ pts à 61% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Michigan Governor margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Michigan Governor margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Michigan Governor margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Michigan Governor margin of victory est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.