KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDemocrats, 4+ pts 81%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
77.0% / 82.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:203 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democrats, 10+ pts77%
Tendance du volume
$1.6k5 juil.4j de données29 juil.
Marchés Associés
Texas Senate margin of victory
3,3 k €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIdaho Senate margin of victory
3,2 k €Republicans, 31+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
1,2 k €Democrats, 10+ pts: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1,2 k €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHINew Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
877,9 €Republicans, 6+ pts: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado's 4th District margin of victory
705,8 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Michigan's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.