KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDemocrats, 7+ pts 8%-4.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
705,7 €
Liquidité
840,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
4.0% / 11.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:223 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democrats, 7+ pts8%
Tendance du volume
$8044 juil.17j de données29 juil.
Marchés Associés
Texas Senate margin of victory
3,3 k €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIArkansas's 4th District margin of victory
0 €Republicans, 24+ pts: 90%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 3rd District margin of victory
1,4 k €Democrats, 10+ pts: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIArkansas's 1st District margin of victory
0 €Republicans, 27+ pts: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
1,2 k €Democrats, 10+ pts: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1,2 k €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Colorado's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.