KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleRepublicans, 30+ pts 88%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
66.0% / 72.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:213 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Republicans, 36+ pts72%
Marchés Associés
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory
2 k €Republicans, 4+ pts: 30%KALSHI
KALSHIArkansas's 4th District margin of victory
2 k €Republicans, 33+ pts: 75%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 7th District margin of victory
440,5 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 22%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Senate margin of victory
367,2 €Republicans, 9+ pts: 38%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
176,5 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 46%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
175,8 €James Talarico, 5+ pts: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 1st District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.