KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDemocrats, 10+ pts 16%-13.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
263,7 €
Liquidité
2,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
12.0% / 17.0%
Spread
41.7%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:203 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democrats, 10+ pts16%
Tendance du volume
$3007 juil.14j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory
2,9 k €Democrats, 76+ pts: 82%KALSHI
KALSHITennessee's 4th District margin of victory
2,8 k €Republicans, 24+ pts: 66%KALSHI
KALSHITennessee's 8th District margin of victory
2,6 k €Republicans, 25+ pts: 63%KALSHI
KALSHIFlorida's 10th District margin of victory
2,5 k €Democrats, 45+ pts: 97%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
406,4 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 45%KALSHI
KALSHINew Hampshire Senate margin of victory
264,6 €Democrats, 4+ pts: 67%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Michigan's 7th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.