KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Apr 1, 2027 89%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
213,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
2 juil. 26, 17:42 UTC1 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Lockheed Martin deliver more than 155 F-35 aircraft in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2026?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If Ferrari officially announces confirmed delivery of the Ferrari Luce the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseABCCNBCThe Wall Street JournalMSNBCThe InformationNBCThe Washington PostThe New York TimesAxiosReutersCNNthe Associated PressCBSPoliticoBloomberg News
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 96,6 k €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Apr 1, 2027 à 89% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Ferrari officially announces confirmed delivery of the Ferrari Luce the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.