KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
73° to 74° 34.4%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
73° to 74° 34.4%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
199,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
196,5 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
30 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC2 oct. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 5m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be below 75 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be below 76 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExLowest temperature in Austin on October 1?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be below 77 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExLowest temperature in Austin on October 2?
PolymarketRègles
If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 73° to 74°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° to 72°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 71-72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° to 76°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is greater than 76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° to 70°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 69-70° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Lowest temperature in Austin on October 1? · 67°F or below 46%