When will the Knesset approve a new government?
4.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉchecsÉlectionSport3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 18 oct. 2026, 20:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Feb 3, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Feb 3, 2027 75.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Feb 3, 2027 75.5%Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
241,6 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Feb 3, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
21 août 26, 19:00 UTC3 févr. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Feb 3, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Knesset
- The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include: Parliamentary approval with binding effect A formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority An official statement by an authorized minister An official government press release A formal declaration during official government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances Statements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Proposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption Retraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment Where the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Feb 3, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Feb 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 20, 2027
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 23, 2026
- If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Dec 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.