KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Troy Downing 96%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.3% / 7.2%
Écart
3.9 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
7 janv. 26, 01:08 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the House member sworn in for MT-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MT-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 133,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,3 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 523,8 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 493,5 k €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour MT-02 House winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Troy Downing à 96% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand MT-02 House winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- MT-02 House winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment MT-02 House winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the House member sworn in for MT-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.