KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 150 22%-2.0%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
61,5 k €
Liquidité
103,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
4.8%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
6 juil. 26, 17:3014 juil. 26, 13:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 15022%
Tendance du volume
$70.2k6 juil.8j de données13 juil.
Marchés Associés
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)
6,8 k €Above 100: 32%KALSHI
KALSHI
Iran leader end of 2026?
3,2 M €Mojtaba Khamenei: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
633,6 k €Oui: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by...?
296,1 k €August 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
235,6 k €Before Jul 15, 2026: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Continent to Win the Men's World Cup
148,7 k €South America: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalization drop to 65.5% on disruptionBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices 99.65% No on Hormuz normal traffic by July 15Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds hit 8.5% for Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 31Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalization slide to 62.5% on Gulf flare-upBlockchain.News
Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31Blockchain.NewsIran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.NewsRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 125 from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.