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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 22:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 34%
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
30.0% / 38.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
5 sept. 26, 02:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:European Council
- The European Council must officially declare that all 27 EU member states have reached political agreement on the overall 2028-2034 MFF terms.
- A commitment or timetable to reach agreement later, a negotiating box, a partial or sectoral mandate, or a package leaving MFF-level terms unresolved does not qualify.
- European Parliament consent, formal legislative adoption, and entry into force are not required.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 34% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.