Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?
One-OffSociété et culture2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 73.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard18 mai 26, 06:58 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur:
- Someone and I each provide a probability estimate regarding our intent to pursue a long-term maximally serious relationship
- Both estimates are given within a ~2 week window of each other
- The mean of the two estimates is ≥40%
- Estimates can be verbal or written but must be deliberate (not offhand).
- Only needs to occur once; reversions or breakups afterward don't change the resolution.
