KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 71%
Non 71%Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
12,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert
44,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
25.0% / 30.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
21 sept. 26, 18:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
KalshiWill the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?
FutuurWill the US ban software patents before 2033 ?
Manifold MarketsWill the US ban open-weight AI models, and what happens to OpenAI + Anthropic's valuation if it does?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The GuardianFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCABCBBC NewsCBSNBCthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalReutersCNNABC News AustraliaAxiosSemaforPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBC (Canada)Bloomberg News
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
