Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Pete Buttigieg · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Pete Buttigieg 30.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Pete Buttigieg 30.5%Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
639,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
56,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Pete ButtigiegÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
16 sept. 25, 21:00 UTC7 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Pete Buttigieg
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWho will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run?
KalshiRègles
If Pete Buttigieg is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:personthe Federal Election CommissionBallotpediaThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalPoliticoAxiosCNNABCCBSFox NewsMSNBCNBCofficial campaign websites or social media accounts of declared candidates
- A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Pete Buttigieg
- If Pete Buttigieg is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andy Beshear
- If Andy Beshear is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom
- If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Josh Shapiro
- If Josh Shapiro is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kamala Harris
- If Kamala Harris is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- J.B. Pritzker
- If J.B. Pritzker is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jon Ossoff
- If Jon Ossoff is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wes Moore
- If Wes Moore is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gretchen Whitmer
- If Gretchen Whitmer is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.