Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleRahm Emanuel 77%En tête parmi 33 options
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
4,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
20.0% / 25.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
21 mai 26, 21:001 nov. 28, 3:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Gavin Newsom23%
Tendance du volume
$792 juil.17j de données23 juil.
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If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.
- A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
- The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
- Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
- The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.