KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Below $300 billion 93%+8.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
268,1 €
Liquidité
770,2 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
2 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC4 févr. 27, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China rhenium imports exceed 42 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China rhenium imports exceed 30 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWhat will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWhat will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiRègles
If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:FRED
Marchés ouverts
China
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4 k €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Volume total
- 384,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,4 k €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Handicap: KBG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)+59.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Volume total
- 25,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 24,9 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 22,3 k €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US imports of goods from China in 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Below $300 billion à 93% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US imports of goods from China in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- US imports of goods from China in 2026 doit être résolu le 4 février 2027.
- Comment US imports of goods from China in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.