Will China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Matières premièresOne-OffChine5moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.4%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 23:30 UTC31 mars 27, 04:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiUS imports of goods from China in 2026
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if China rhenium imports exceeds 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026.
- What is being measured: China's total rhenium imports (all forms, Re content equivalent) for the calendar year ending December 2026, as reported by GACC or USGS.
- YES if: China total Re imports >= 20 thousand kg for the year NO if: China total Re imports < 20 thousand kg for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (China General Administration of Customs) — HS 2841.90 + HS 8112.41 import data
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (world trade tables)
- Wood Mackenzie or CRU Group — China rhenium demand and trade estimates
