KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Magnitude of at least 6.6 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Magnitude of at least 6.6 83.5%En tête parmi 9 options
Magnitude of at least 6.6 83.5%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
241,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
262 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Magnitude of at least 6.6Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
10 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Magnitude of at least 6.6
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an earthquake of magnitude >6.0 in the New Madrid Seismic Zone by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
PolymarketRègles
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:United States Geological Survey (USGS)
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 8.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 8.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.