KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Magnitude of at least 5.6 29%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
238,7 €
Liquidité
187,9 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
7 sept. 26, 20:00 UTC8 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Kalshi9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRègles
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS.
- If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count.
- If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 232,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 186,1 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 66,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6 k €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Magnitude of at least 5.6 à 29% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? doit être résolu le 8 septembre 2026.
- Comment What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Sep 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.