KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
6.8+ 89%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
78 €
Liquidité
5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
1 sept. 26, 18:45 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?
PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRègles
If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:USGS
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.9 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.0 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.1 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.2 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.3 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 154,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 148,6 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 92,3 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 79,3 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote 6.8+ à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.