KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 90%
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
282,9 €
Liquidité
9,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 11.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
19 août 26, 03:30 UTC4 juin 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?
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KalshiWill September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
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PolymarketRègles
If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Resolution uses annual average employment in Arizona for NAICS 3344 - Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing, as reported by BLS QCEW.
- The 24,431-employee baseline is fixed to the published 2025 value at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike.
- QCEW publishes detailed industries for every state and annual-average files once the full year is available.
- For reference, the complete 2025 annual QCEW data became available with the fourth-quarter release on June 2, 2026.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? doit être résolu le 4 juin 2027.
- Comment Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.