KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 99%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
0.3% / 1.4%
Écart
1.1 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
6 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
Kalshi"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
PolymarketTerritory of Essequibo confirmed as part of Guyana by the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?
FutuurWill Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner in 2026?
PredictItRègles
If Nick Adams is the first person confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Senate
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 111,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 25,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 843 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,2 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 523,1 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,6 M €
- Texas Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 99% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Nick Adams is the first person confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.