Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionLatin America23jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.5%
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5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète4 août 26, 23:03 UTC3 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
This market comes amid an escalating diplomatic dispute between Brazil and the United States.
- Brazil has delayed granting agrément to Daniel Perez after the Trump administration announced his nomination before formally obtaining Brazil’s consent.
- Brazil also denied visas to two U.S. State Department officials whose planned visit, according to Brazilian officials, raised concerns about possible interference in the October election and efforts to cast doubt on the country’s electronic voting system.
- The U.S. government denied those allegations and described the visit as routine.
- Washington later revoked the visa of Brazil’s ambassador to the United States and said it could be restored if Brazil approves Perez.
- This market will resolve to Yes if the Brazilian government formally grants diplomatic approval (agrément) to Daniel Perez to serve as U.S. ambassador to Brazil before voting begins in the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election? doit être résolu le 3 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market comes amid an escalating diplomatic dispute between Brazil and the United States.