KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
22 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
4.0% / 11.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
16 avr. 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Daft Punk have a reunion this year?
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KalshiMTV Video Music Awards: Best Direction
KalshiBy 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction
Manifold MarketsKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
If One Direction has a reunion before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Variety
- The reunion may be on stage or online.
- The remaining members must all perform music together to be considered a reunion.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a One Direction reunion this year? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a One Direction reunion this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a One Direction reunion this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will there be a One Direction reunion this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If One Direction has a reunion before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.