GeminiDonnées vérifiées limitéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
JD Vance 18.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualite du marche
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
103,5 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
19 févr. 26, 18:2810 nov. 28, 0:00
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
JD Vance19%
Comparer les plateformes· JD Vance
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global80% de correspondance · lié | Élevée | 18% | -2pt | 375,5 k € | 34,5 M € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Polymarket85% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 20% | 0pt | 371,8 k € | 44 M € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| GeminiCette page | Faible | 19% | -1pt | 103,5 € | 0 € | il y a 15 minutes | |
 Futuur85% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 28% | +8pt | 0 € | 16 k € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Myriad83% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 42% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Smarkets85% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 18% | -2pt | 233,3 € | 0 € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless91% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 50% | +30pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondance · lié | — | 18% | -2pt | — | — | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
50%
50%
50%
+4 résultats de plus
22 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total14,6 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
20%
-0.2pt12%
12%
+125 résultats de plus
74 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total588,9 M €
Volume 24h371,8 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2a
-0.3pt17.5%
16.5%
+0.2pt15.2%
+42 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire1 008 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
17.5%
10.9%
10%
+37 résultats de plus
27 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total284,7 k €
Volume 24h233,3 €
SMARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3mo
28%
28%
26%
+2 résultats de plus
42 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURÉgalement disponible sur Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
5.7 pts2a
-0.1pt41.6%
-0.1pt19.8%
+0.2pt10.8%
+28 résultats de plus
30 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
MYRIADÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.5 pts3a
17%
17%
11.3%
+27 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total48 M €
Volume 24h375,5 k €
KALSHIRègles
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.3k83.0%KALSHIMarco Rubio — Noavant-hier
KALSHIMarco Rubio — Noavant-hier$1.7k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — No-3 j
KALSHITucker Carlson — No-3 j$3.3k99.1%KALSHITucker Carlson — No-3 j
KALSHITucker Carlson — No-3 j$1.4k13.9%POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbit-3 j
POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbit-3 j$3.7k19.9%POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgates-3 j
POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgates-3 j$1.8k98.5%POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Brisket-3 j
POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Brisket-3 j$1.1k97.3%KALSHIAndy Beshear — No-5 j
KALSHIAndy Beshear — No-5 j$2.5k97.5%KALSHIAndy Beshear — No-5 j
KALSHIAndy Beshear — No-5 jMarchés Associés
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Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.