Alerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en directDonnées source dégradées
Données au 10 sept. 2026, 09:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 100%En tête parmi 34 options
Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
26 mars 26, 20:47 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:01 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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ForecastExRègles
Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.).
- Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No. If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.
- If the named outcome leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
- the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.