Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.4%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète4 juin 26, 01:00 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
LimitlessWill Initiative #25-0024A1 (2026 Billionaire Tax Act) pass in California in 2026?
ForecastExWhen will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to YES if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), or a combined legislative package containing this act, is officially signed into law by the President of the United States (or otherwise enacted over a veto) between September 1, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- The official source of truth for resolution will be the bill status history on Congress.gov.
- Note: If the market creator intended "pass" to refer specifically to passage by the U.S. Senate rather than full enactment into law, they should clarify and edit these criteria accordingly before the start of September.
- The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), widely referred to as the CLARITY Act, is a major U.S. federal legislative effort aimed at providing a clear regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies and other digital assets.
- The bill delineates regulatory jurisdictions, splitting digital asset oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 M €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 555,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 555,7 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volume total
- 459,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 459,5 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Jpegenav
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- BTC 15 min · $79,321.04 target
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Clarity Act will pass in September ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Clarity Act will pass in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- Clarity Act will pass in September doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Clarity Act will pass in September est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to YES if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), or a combined legislative package containing this act, is officially signed into law by the President of the United States (or otherwise enacted over a veto) between September 1, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.