FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Non 96%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
245,2 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
3
Commentaires
1
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave China in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItRègles
This market concerns whether Xi Jinping will leave office at any time during the calendar year 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) for resolution is an official announcement by the Xinhua News Agency confirming that Xi Jinping no longer holds any of the following roles: General Secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC), President of the People’s Republic of China, or Chairman of the Central Military Commission.
- The Market Period is from 2026-01-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-12-31 23:59:59 UTC inclusive.
- If the PDS confirms that during this period he ceases to hold any of these roles (due to resignation, removal, death, incapacity with a successor appointed, or other official transfer of power), this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately (first-truth resolution).
- If by the end of the Market Period the PDS indicates he still holds all three roles and no effective cessation occurred within the period, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary acting arrangements, medical leaves, delegations of authority, or announcements of future resignation effective after 2026 do not count.
