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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard5 oct. 23, 23:08 UTC31 déc. 28, 14:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xi Jinping leave China in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping leave office in 2026?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will he leave China (area of control at the time) from Jan 1 2026 to Dec 31 2028?
- i.e. if the PRC still controls HK, then it wouldn't count as leaving.
- If it controls Taiwan, that would not count as leaving either.
- The point is if he goes to a region which another independent government controls.
