Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffChineGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 68.6%
Non 68.6%Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète31 déc. 23, 01:59 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
- If Xi ceases to hold all of his formal titles, but comes up with a new one and is still widely recognized as holding de facto power, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- If Xi becomes ill and arguably "de facto" power is held for a short period by someone else, but Xi keeps any of titles during this period, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-88b203241f22
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- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas
