FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%
Non 92%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
378,6 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?
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KalshiRègles
This event predicts whether the United States will officially establish a new federal regulatory body whose primary purpose is AI oversight by December 31, 2026.
- For this market, “creating a new regulatory body” means a legally binding action (e.g., federal legislation or an executive order) that forms a distinct government body with authority to create, implement, and enforce AI-related regulations/standards in the United States, including mechanisms such as review/approval requirements and enforcement penalties.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official text of the relevant U.S. law or executive action and the corresponding official U.S. government announcement.
- If, on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. government formally establishes such a distinct federal AI regulatory body (as defined above), this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Expanding the mandate of an existing agency does not qualify unless the action clearly establishes a distinct new body for AI oversight with the described enforcement remit; if a borderline case arises (e.g., an explicitly designated interim/preparatory body), Futuur will apply the market’s intent.
