[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
RégulationOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
16 oct. 23, 13:24 UTC2 janv. 30, 20:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, on January 1st 2030, at least 20 countries accept the statutes of an actively operating organization that regulates transformative AI projects by monitoring the capabilities of AI labs in those countries.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- This market is managed by a bot.
