KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,8 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
4 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill the US create a new regulatory body for AI oversight in 2026?
FutuurWill the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US create a universal Healthcare system by EOY 2030?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The White HouseU.S. Department of CommerceNational Institute of Standards and TechnologyAssociated PressReuters
- For this market, a qualifying establishment must be adopted through a law, executive order, regulation, or other binding official act, or unconditionally announced by the President, an authorized Cabinet official, or another authorized U.S. government body. A new body or formally designated existing body qualifies only if a binding official action grants it primary nationwide, cross-sector AI rulemaking, licensing, supervisory, or enforcement authority comparable in substance to a national regulator, or if an unconditional official announcement commits to granting it such authority, including when that authority will take effect later. The body's name or form does not control: a council, office, standards body, or SRO qualifies if one identifiable body receives those powers. A body that only advises, coordinates, studies, tests, sets voluntary standards, conducts one-off reviews, or has only sector-specific authority does not qualify. Distributed sector-by-sector authority does not qualify.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
