Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026?
Politique américaineOne-Off2mois
FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 80%
Non 80%Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
7
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This event predicts whether the membership (composition) of the Supreme Court of the United States will change at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a “change in composition” means that at least one Justice leaves the Court (e.g., resignation, retirement, death) and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in to fill a seat.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements and records from the Supreme Court of the United States regarding its membership (e.g., official website communications) and the official record of any swearing-in.
- If at least one Justice leaves the Court and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary changes due to recusals or other temporary absences will not count.