KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jul 1, 2027 20%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
121,5 €
Liquidité
356,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
17 févr. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
FutuurRègles
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Samuel AlitoSupreme CourtPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
- The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Gemini — When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? · Before Jul 1, 2027 19%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jul 1, 2027 à 20% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Gemini.