Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Nov. 3?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20261d
PredictItComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución no verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Aviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 2 nov 2026, 6:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%Líder entre 9 opciones
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%Metodología
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pregunta
-
Volumen 24h
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
27 oct 26, 15:54 UTC3 nov 26, 16:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 11/03/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
