PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes
Resuelto: 13 ago 2026, 8:17
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Yes
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
8%
SorpresaAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 13 ago 2026, 8:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 100%+90.8pt
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
869,9 €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaCompra / Venta
99.6% / 100.0%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+51.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 días
Desactualizado24 jul 26, 16:3612 ago 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Reykjavík Airport (stationID:BIRK) METAR observation at 18:00 UTC on August 12, 2026 reports a Cloud Coverage Level 1 (skyc1) value of SKC, CLR, FEW, or SCT.
- This market will resolve to "No" if that observation reports BKN, OVC, or VV, or is missing after applying the rules listed below.
- If the 18:00 UTC BIRK observation is missing or not reported within 24 hours, the 17:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used instead or, if it is also missing, the 19:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used.
- If both are missing, this market will resolve based on Keflavík International Airport's (stationID:BIKF) observations using the same time hierarchy.
- The primary resolution source is the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) ASOS archive (mesonet.agron.iastate.edu), routine hourly reports only, skyc1 field.
- The raw METAR text of the qualifying observation governs in the event of any discrepancy in the parsed CSV field.
