Probabilidad implícita actual
No 85%+1.5pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
13,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
14.0% / 16.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-13.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
31 ago 26, 19:43 UTC5 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part.
- Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party.
- Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority??
- Está previsto que Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? se resuelva el 5 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.