PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 98%+0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
506,9 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
95.6% / 99.6%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+2.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
11 ago 26, 15:00 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Met Office's mean temperature for the United Kingdom for meteorological summer 2026 (June 1 to August 31, 2026) is the highest for any summer in the Met Office record.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The current UK summer mean temperature record is 16.12°C, set in summer 2025.
- A UK summer 2026 mean temperature greater than 16.12°C is necessary and sufficient for a "Yes" resolution; a value equal to or below 16.12°C resolves "No".
- The primary resolution source will be the figure in the "sum" (summer) column of the row for year "2026" in the Met Office UK mean air temperature series (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Tmean/date/UK.txt).
- The market will resolve on the first value the Met Office publishes for summer 2026 in this series and will not be affected by any subsequent revision.
Mercados abiertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 232,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 227,3 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 186,1 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 66,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,6 mil €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record??
- Está previsto que Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Met Office's mean temperature for the United Kingdom for meteorological summer 2026 (June 1 to August 31, 2026) is the highest for any summer in the Met Office record.