PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 93.1%+0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
43 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
90.1% / 96.9%
Spread
6.8 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
+0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
24 ago 26, 22:37 UTC20 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?
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PolymarketWhich movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PolymarketWill "The Social Reckoning" earn more than $23M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross of "Dune: Part Three" and "Avengers: Doomsday" (both releasing December 18, 2026) is greater than the equivalent combined figure for "Barbenheimer" — "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" — of $244,477,464.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates), then added together.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
- If both "Dune: Part Three" and "Avengers: Doomsday" do not both release on the weekend of December 18 - December 20, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 319,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 98 mil €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 resultados más
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 80 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 130,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,3 mil €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record??
- Está previsto que Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record? se resuelva el 20 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the combined domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross of "Dune: Part Three" and "Avengers: Doomsday" (both releasing December 18, 2026) is greater than the equivalent combined figure for "Barbenheimer" — "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" — of $244,477,464.