Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?
Política
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
DesactualizadoCronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This is a market on whether Armin Laschet, leader of the CDU party, will win an upcoming German chancellor’s election.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Armin Laschet is the next elected chancellor, and “No” otherwise.
- The 2021 German federal election is expected to be held on September 26, 2021, after which either a chancellor may be elected and appointed, or a new federal election will be held and the process will repeat.
- This market will resolve only when there is a successful chancellor’s election, meaning once a chancellor has been both elected by the Bundestag and appointed by the president.
- For instance, if the first round of elections is inconclusive and Merkel remains chancellor in the meantime, and the second round is won by Laschet, this market will resolve as "Yes." This market will resolve according to the German government’s website (https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-en/chancellor) and the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service (protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp).
- In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 100% a fecha de 25 de abril de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a market on whether Armin Laschet, leader of the CDU party, will win an upcoming German chancellor’s election.