Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
2.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 oct 2026, 19:38 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
President · —
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Referencia guardada
President 58.8%Líder entre 3 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
President 58.8%Calidad del mercado
47 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
400,3 €
Liquidez
49,6 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
14,1 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
PresidentSpread
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Comentarios
2
Cambio 7d
-7.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado18 ago 26, 19:22 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · President
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC run for senate in 2028?
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KalshiWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold Markets120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.
- Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
- The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
- If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither".