Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónLatin America1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 93%+1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
79 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
10,2 mil €
Liquidez
68,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
33
Cambio 7d
-5.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
18 sept 25, 20:024 oct 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 7%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 6 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 7% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersion entre venues
