Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
1.4 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 97%+1.4pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
11,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.1% / 4.0%
Spread
1.9 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-5.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
26 ago 26, 21:43 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
- Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
- For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
- Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31??
- Está previsto que Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.