PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 99%-0.2ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
20,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.8 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-0.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
29 ene 26, 0:343 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 96% · 2 plataformas · banda de 1 pt
- También disponible en Limitless — WI-04 House Election Winner · Democratic Party 99%
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 160,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 845,4 mil €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 11,5 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 50,3 M €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de WI-04 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket cotiza Democratic Party al 99% a fecha de 22 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve WI-04 House Election Winner?
- Está previsto que WI-04 House Election Winner se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida WI-04 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- ¿Dónde más está listado WI-04 House Election Winner?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless.