PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoLiquidado por el proveedor, mercado por mercado
Resuelto: 19 oct 2026, 18:09
Este evento no tiene un único ganador. El proveedor liquidó cada mercado por separado; cada mercado muestra su propio resultado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 19 oct 2026, 18:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Fool46%
Mexico36%
Sanction36%
Nidal Hasan5%
Putin0%
China100%
Deranged / Derangement100%
Iran100%
Russia100%
War100%
ChinaGanada
Deranged / DerangementGanada
IranGanada
RussiaGanada
WarGanada
FoolPerdida
MexicoPerdida
Nidal HasanPerdida
PutinPerdida
RiggedPerdida
SanctionPerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.
