PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 88.1%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
1 jul 26, 21:37 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement.
- This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement.
- An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
- The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de USMCA extended in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve USMCA extended in 2026??
- Está previsto que USMCA extended in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida USMCA extended in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.